The two teams with the best regular season record will go head-to-head at Super Bowl LVII when the Philadelphia Eagles will take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday February 12th.
There will be some fantastic individual battles on the field at the State Farm Stadium for the game, but someone has to come out on top in those battles and that’s where the prop bets come in handy.
We’ll take a look at Sunday’s big game and pick out the best prop bets to give you our best free NFL picks, and see if we can earn you some extra cash for the end of the weekend.
Learn more about how to bet on the Super Bowl here.
There will be so many markets to bet on for the Super Bowl, including some that are outside of the norm for when you’re scrolling through your betting options.
Below are our favorite prop bets for the Super Bowl LVII game.
Across the entire NFL this season, the touchback percentage has been 59.7% out of a total 2,698 kickoffs. The two kickers in question here are Jacob Elliott and Harrison Butker, and Elliott has a 69.2% touchback percentage from 91 kickoffs this season while Butker has a 64.7% touchback percentage from 68 kickoffs.
However in 28 of the previous 32 Super Bowl games the first kickoff has not been a touchback and that’s not a coincidence.
This is because a brand new ball gets used immediately rather than one that has already been kicked around a bit and has a soft spot to gain more distance, and that makes it harder to kick the distance.
There is no disputing that this bet is a bit of a risk with the kickers on the field, but history is on our side in this one and we’re confident that you’ll start the game with a win if you back it.
The Eagles absolutely dominated against the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round and the Championship game, winning by a combined score of 69-14 – conceding just seven in each game.
That, and the fact they have got one of the best rush offenses in the entire NFL this season means that relying on the arm of Jalen Hurts hasn’t been a factor for them too much this season.
However during the Super Bowl they will be coming up against the number one rushing defensive unit in the Chiefs.
The total of 250 yards in the game may seem high considering Hurts has only done it five times in total this season, but the Eagles are likely to try and pass the ball more often and that should see him rack up the yards as the game goes on.
Check out our review for BetUS sports betting here.
Pacheco was a non-story in the first half of the season for the Chiefs, but after breaking onto the scene in week 10 he hasn’t looked back at all.
The running-back has had 11 or more carries in eight of his last 11 games, and has attempted a team-high 170 carries this year. A stat that when the fact he only got into the team halfway through the season is taken into account becomes even more impressive.
At 23-years-old he is fearless when it comes to running the ball, and having already registered ten plus carries in the two playoff games they’ve played there’s no reason he can’t do it again on the grandest stage of them all.
This is a team that rarely settles for field goals, and therefore Jake Elliott‘s input on the scoring is likely to be held to a minimum, just as it has been for much of the season.
Elliott only made 20 field goals during the regular season and five of them came in the Week 18 win over the Giants.
That was also his only game with more than two field goal attempts. He’s 2-for-2 this post-season but has successfully kicked nine extra points thus far.
The Chiefs are not a team that force their opponents into many field goals however. Kansas City ranked 31st in touchdown percentage in the red zone at 67.3%, better than only the Indianapolis Colts. The Eagles offense was third in red zone touchdown percentage at 67.8%.
Philadelphia was also ranked fourth in the NFL in fourth-down attempts and ranked fourth in fourth-down conversion rate.
It’s possible that they’ll go for the points in the Super Bowl with kicks just to get on the board, but the success they’ve had in the fourth down this season is what got them here and it would be odd if they swayed away from that, so this looks a good value bet.
Valdes-Scantling turned in his best performance of the season so far in the Championship game when he recorded six catches, a touchdown and a game-high 116 yards against the Cincinnati Bengals.
With the Kansas changing room suffering with knocks and niggles, the likelihood is that he will once again be key to their offense and the chances of him racking up 30 yards or more during the game seem quite high to us, making it the perfect bet.
Check out our review for MyBookie sports betting here.
About the Author
Daniel is a football writer who has a great thirst for the Premier League and other major European leagues. A lover of the beautiful game and a firm believer that the eye test is better than statistics. Also an avid MMA fan.
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