The two best teams in the NFL will go head-to-head at Super Bowl LIX when the Philadelphia Eagles take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday February 9th for the second time in three years.
The likes of Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts will be looking to be the reason why their team make history in the game, but that will mean they likely need to show their highest level to beat the other, while other stars will be keen to make it their name in lights when the game ends.
We’ll take a look at the match-up and provide you with our best free Super Bowl betting picks to see if we can earn you some extra cash while you take in the action on the field.
The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting occasions on the planet, and that means the bookies give you as many opportunities to earn cash as possible with outside-the-box bets.
Below are our favorite prop bets for the Super Bowl LIX game.
Philadelphia Eagles have been a very good running team this season, but the Chiefs have also been a brilliant defensive team when it comes to stopping those attempts. That makes more pass attempts likely, and that means that Saquon Barkley Under 22.5 rush attempts makes sense.
While Barkley has gone Over 22.5 rush attempts in four of his last five games, the Chiefs have allowed only 18.9 carries to running backs this season. There also hasn’t been a single lead ball carrier to get to 23+ carries vs the Chiefs this season. Take Saquon to go Under 22.5 rush attempts in this spot and take the -125 value before the line goes out further.
Check out our review for Bovada sports betting here.
Many people are expecting this game to go down to the final plays, and if the Chiefs are in possession then Mahomes is the man who will play short and accurate passes to get his team down the field towards the end zone and in range for a potential field goal attempt.
That would bode well for his Over 23.5 completions prop. Mahomes has gone Over this number in 10 of his last 16 games, and the team are unlikely to be running too much against an Eagles defense that has only allowed 4.08 yards per carry his season.
That means more passing volume and gives Mahomes a good chance at hitting this prop. The value at -135 is good too, so take it while you can.
Whenever Jalen Hurts is looking for an outlet while on the ball, it’s more often than not Dallas Goedert who he finds – and the Chiefs have been struggling to defend the opposing tight all season.
The 30 year old veteran is averaging 62.7 receiving yards per game this postseason, with 15 receptions on 18 targets for 188 yards and a touchdown in three games.
There is every chance that the Chiefs look to double-team him or come up with a plan to stop him, but that will mean less resources stopping the likes of Saquon Barkley and AJ Brown on the Eagles offense. The chances are that the Chiefs back themselves to just deal with the consequences, so this Over looks like a great bet.
While Jalen Hurts has gone Under 26.5 pass attempts quite often lately, this is the game where he comes back with a bang and hits the Over 30 mark.
Much like we mentioned with Mahomes, if this game is as tight as most people are expecting it to be it means that Hurts will be making short, accurate passes to get his team up the field late on. That means more pass attempts, especially at the end of the game where we could see the Eagles try to play fast to kick a last-minute field goal.
The Chiefs allowed 33.2 pass attempts per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. Each opposing team has combined for 27+ pass attempts against the Chiefs this year and the only time when a starting quarterback failed to hit this number vs Kansas City was when Jameis Winston was benched for the Cleveland Browns.
While it’s a big jump and a bit of a risk considering his recent numbers and the quality of the Eagles’ running game, there is absolutely brilliant value in taking this bet at +170 and this is arguably the best value pick for the Super Bowl.
Check out the best betting bonuses available.
About the Author
Daniel is a football writer who has a great thirst for the Premier League and other major European leagues. A lover of the beautiful game and a firm believer that the eye test is better than statistics. Also an avid MMA fan.
Read Daniel's ProfileAsk Daniel about this guide:
