The headline fight in the UFC 313 picks is a battle for the light heavyweight world title. Champion Alex Pereira is seeking to retain his belt and hold off challenger Magomed Ankalaev as they enter the cage at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday, March 8.
In the co-main event, veteran campaigner Justin Gaethje is tangling with Rafael Fiziev in a showdown of two top lightweight contenders. It’s a rematch. Gaethje won the first meeting of the two fighters by majority decision.
Let’s look at the latest betting lines for these bouts. Remember, odds are always subject to change.
UFC 313 Odds | The Pick | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev | Pereira | -115 | -115 | -115 |
Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev | Fiziev | -140 | -140 | -140 |
In this article, SBS will be going over each fighter, offering a predicted winner in both matchups, and also providing some additional notes and information regarding UFC 313 picks and UFC betting.
Fighter Spotlight: Alex Pereira
Brazilian Pereira (12-2) has won 12 of his last 13 fights. His only setback during that span was dropping the middleweight title belt to Israel Adesanya in a rematch against the man from whom he’d originally claimed the title.
As a middleweight, Pereira beat Adesanya and Sean Strickland. Since moving up in weight class, he’s proven to be a dominant light heavyweight. His four title defenses give him a share of the record in that weight class with Daniel Cormier. He’s beaten Jiri Prochazka twice and Jan Blachowciz.
Fighter Spotlight: Magomed Ankalaev
There’s been plenty of action on Ankalaev (19-1-1, 1 NC) in the UFC 313 picks since betting lines first opened on this bout. The opening line on Ankalaev was +105. It has since shortened to -105. At Betonline, both fighters are given a betting line of -115.
Ankalaev is from Dagestan, Russia. This is the same part of the world that’s given UFC such notable champions as Khabib Nurmagomedov and current UFC lightweight champion Islam Makhachev. Ankalaev hasn’t lost a fight since 2018.
Prediction: Betting on this fight not to go the distance might not be a bad prop to play. Both fighters are punishing strikers. Pereira has won five in a row via knockout. Meanwhile, Ankalaev has posted two of his last three wins via knockout.
It’s a bout that presents a clash of styles. Pereira comes from a kickboxing background. Ankalaev’s forte is wrestling. One factor on Pereira’s side is his ability to absorb punishment and keep coming. Take Pereira to win a close contest in the UFC 313 picks.
Fighter Spotlight: Justin Gaethje
The Highllight, as Gaethje (25-5) is known, was to be meeting veteran Dan Hooker in this fight. However, Hooker broke his hand and had to pull out of the bout. That led to a rematch between the former UFC lightweight champion and current No. 3 contender Gaethje and Fiziev.
The two met at UFC 286 in March of 2023. Gaethje won a majority decision. One judge scored the fight a draw. Gaethje is 3-3 in his last six fights. His losses were to Max Holloway, Charles Oliveira and Khabib Nurmagomedov.
Fighter Spotlight: Rafael Fiziev
The Azerbaijani fighter is ranked No. 11 among UFC lightweight contenders. Fiziev has lost his last two fights following a six-bout win streak.
If his wants to get a title shot, Fiziev needs to win this fight. He was dominant in the early part of the first meeting with Gaethje, before the latter was able to make adjustments and rally for the win.
Prediction: Many industry insiders are seeing this as the fight of the night. It was the last time the two met. In fact, both ended up in hospital after their first fight.
When two fighters are as evenly-matched as this pairing, it’s difficult for one to win both meetings. Bet Fiziev to win the rematch in the UFC 313 picks.
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