Jon Jones has proven to be an unstoppable force in UFC and as he once again enters the octagon, oddsmakers are overwhelmingly anticipating another dominant performance from the UFC heavyweight champion.
Jones is a prohibitive -675 favorite to defeat challenger Stipe Miocic in the main event at UFC 309.
In the co-main event, former UFC lightweight champion Charles Oliveira is the -245 chalk in his rematch with Michael Chandler.
| UFC 309 Odds | The Pick |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic | Jones | -675 | -700 | -500 |
| Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler | Oliveira | -245 | -240 | -280 |
In this article, SBS will be going over each fighter, offering a predicted winner in both matchups, and also providing some additional notes and information regarding UFC 309 betting.
Fighter Spotlight: Jon Jones
Considered to be one of the greatest martial artists of all-time, Jones is currently No. 3 in the UFC pound for pound rankings. Jones (27-1-1) reigned as UFC light-heavyweight champion from 2011-15 and 2018-20 and was also interim light-heavyweight champ in 2016.
In that division, he holds UFC records for most title defenses (11), most wins in title bouts (14), and longest win streak (15). Following a three-year retirement from UFC, Jones made a comeback in 2023, stepped up in weight class and defeated Ciryl Gane via submission to earn the UFC heavyweight title belt at UFC 285.
Fighter Spotlight: Stipe Miocic
Miocic (20-4) is a two-time UFC heavyweight champion. He holds the promotion’s record with four successful defenses of his heavyweight title belt.
His most recent bout was on March 27, 2021. He lost his heavyweight title to Francis Ngannou via second-round knockout. Three of his four career losses were by KO.
Prediction: Jones is a devstating performer. He’s never been stopped or outscored in the cage. His only loss was by disqualification. In his day, Miocic was equally impressive. However, he’s 42, hasn’t fought in nearly four years and lost two of his last four bouts.
This fight has a Larry Holmes vs Muhammad Ali vibe about it, as a once-legendary champ gets destroyed by the current best fighter in the division. Expect Jones to win easily and that the bout won’t go the distance.
Fighter Spotlight: Charles Oliveira
It’s been a struggle of late for Oliveira (34-10-1). Even though he beat Justin Gaethje in 2022, Oliveira was unable to make weight and thus was stripped of his UFC lightweight title. In three bouts since, he’s 1-2.
Still, it’s difficult to overlook his body of work. Oliveira owns a UFC-record 20 finishes during hs career. The Brazilian is also a UFC record holder for the most career submission victories (16).
Fighter Spotlight: Michael Chandler
At the lower levels of MMA, Chandler (23-8) was a sensation. He’s a three-time Bellator lightweight champion.
Chandler joined UFC in 2021. He faced Oliveira in his second bout with the promotion and was defeated. His fights are always entertaining. Twice, he’s been in the fight of the night and twice in the performance of the night on a UFC card. However, Chandler is also 1-3 in his last four bouts.
Prediction: These two originally met in the octagon in 2021 for the then-vacant UFC lightweight title. Oliveira won via a second-round TKO. Of the two fighters, Oliveira is the better finisher and grappler.
At 38, Chandler is nearing the end of the road. He’s fought recently as a welterweight, so he will have been required to cut weight to prepare for this bout. The relentless Oliveira will again be too much for him to handle.
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About the Author
Theo is our NFL guy. He is the go-to man for all things football and has proven himself to be one of the most expansive writers here, with a broad knowledge of North American sports. He's a veteran journalist based in Ontario, and has covered the gambling and sports betting industry since 2016. He has written more than two dozen books and covered the NFL since the early 1990s.
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