Following an excellent showcase at UFC 300, the promotion heads to Brazil for another card full of amazing fighters as they duke it out at UFC 301. Kicking off your UFC 301 betting rundown, the main event of this card is slated as a contest for the UFC Men’s Flyweight Championship with Alexandre Pantoja defending against Steve Erceg. The champion enters this bout as a top-ten UFC fighter in the pound-for-pound rankings while his opponent is aiming for a solid upset even though he has not lost a fight to date in the UFC (3-0). Meanwhile, in the bantamweight division, Jonathan Martinez squares off against former UFC Featherweight Champion Jose Aldo in a contest that could have huge ramifications in the bantamweight title scene.
In this report, SBS will be going over what to look for from each fighter, a predicted winner in each matchup, and also more notes and thoughts about UFC 301 betting.
UFC 301 Main Event Bouts | The Pick | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Alexandre Pantoja (c) vs. Steve Erceg | Pantoja | -235 | -235 | -235 |
Jonathan Martinez vs. José Aldo | Martinez | -135 | -135 | -135 |
Fighter Spotlight: Alexandre Pantoja
Coming into this contest, the Brazilian champion is on a five-fight winning streak which also includes three straight Fight of the Night/Performance of the Night outings. During this streak, he defeated Brandon Moreno by way of a split decision at UFC 290 to earn the UFC Flyweight Championship. This contest was also recognized as the Fight of the Night during the event. Recently, the champion was able to defend his belt at UFC 296 with a unanimous decision win against Brandon Royval. A fierce competitor, the Brazilian combatant has an overall record of 27-5 in his MMA career with 10 of those wins coming via submission and eight by way of knockout.
Fighter Spotlight: Steve Erceg
A competitor that has not lost yet in UFC matchups, Erceg enters this contest in what should be the biggest fight of his career thus far. With an overall MMA record of 12-1, the Australian fighter is currently recognized as one of the top flyweights in the company and could be in line for an upset over Pantoja if he can get going early on. Known as “Astro Boy,” the fighter has won six of his career 12 wins by way of knockout and also notched two different victories with knockouts. Most recently, he scored a spectacular knockout win over Matt Schnell at the UFC Fight Night event last month. With this victory, Erceg was awarded a Performance of the Night bonus and brought his UFC record to a perfect 3-0.
Prediction: In what should be a stellar fight, Pantoja will have his hands full with the challenger if he underestimates him. That said, the champion is on his home soil which certainly bodes well for him and should give him the winning edge in this championship fight.
Fighter Spotlight: Jonathan Martinez
Perhaps a breakout star for the UFC in the future if he can win this fight, Martinez is coming off a strong Performance of the Night showing at October’s UFC Fight Night event. In this matchup against Adrian Yanez, he was able to notch a TKO victory with a vicious leg kick attack on his opponent in Las Vegas. With an overall career record of 19-4, the American fighter is perhaps entering his biggest fight in this contest against Aldo. A UFC fighter since 2018, he has accrued a record of 10-2 in his UFC bouts since losing his debut match in the organization. Currently, he is on a six-fight winning streak and has notched two different TKO wins during that span.
Fighter Spotlight: Jose Aldo
Recognized as one the greatest mixed martial artists of all time, Aldo is considered by some outlets to be the best featherweight ever after defending his UFC title seven times and also his WEC title twice. Moreover, after his first MMA defeat in November 2005, Aldo remained undefeated for over a decade, winning 18 straight fights until UFC 194 in December 2015, when he lost to Conor McGregor to bring his career record to 25-2. However, since then he has notched a mark of 6-6 in UFC competition with this last win coming in December 2021 against Rob Font. Moreover, he does have some ring rust as his last official UFC fight was in August 2022 which resulted in a unanimous decision loss to Merab Dvalishvili.
Prediction: In what should be an interesting fight, take Martinez to beat the legend Aldo here given his more recent success and the former champion’s lack of ring time in recent years.
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