Brazilian champion Alexandre Pantoja is heavily favored to defeat challenger Kai Asakura in their world flyweight title bout, the main event on the card at UFC 310. Pantoja is set as the prohibitive -250 odds-on chalk in this fight.
The co-main event at UFC 310 is featuring a pair of unbeaten welterweights in a title eliminator bout. Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) is the massive -140 favorite to defeat Ian Machado Garry (15-0-0).
| UFC 310 Odds | The Pick |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura | Pantoja | -250 | -270 | -270 |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry | Rakhmonov | -420 | -360 | -360 |
In this article, SBS will be going over each fighter, offering a predicted winner in both matchups, and also providing some additional notes and information regarding UFC 310 betting.
Fighter Spotlight: Alexandre Pantoja
The Brazilian will be looking to defend his UFC flyweight world title for the third time at UFC 310. Pantoja (28-5) won the title from Brandon Moreno at UFC 290 via split decision. He’s since taken unanimous decision victories over Brandon Royval and Steve Erceg.
Pantoja has proven capable of winning through whatever method is necessary. His resume includes eight knockout victories and 10 wins via submission. He’s riding a six-bout win streak and hasn’t tasted defeat since 2020.
Fighter Spotlight: Kai Asakura
A newcomer to the promotion, prior to arriving to the UFC, Asakura (21-4) was two-time Rizin Fighting Federation bantamweight champion. He signed with UFC on June 8 of this year, but this will be his first appearance in the octagon since joining UFC. The 31-year-old Japanese fighter is 4-1 over his last five fights, winning the last two via knockout.
Since he’s been fighting at 135 pounds, there are some concerns about how dropping down to the 125-pound flyweight limit will impact Asakura. He insists he’ll have no trouble making the weight.
Prediction: A win by Pantoja will make UFC history. He’d be the first flyweight champion to win four successive title bouts. His experience and versatility should prove too much for Asakura.
It’s a tall enough ask to expect someone to jump right into a title bout in their first UFC appearance. Factoring in the need to cut 10 pounds to make weight is only going to add to Pantoja’s advantage in what should prove a routine title defense for the champion.
Fighter Spotlight: Shavkat Rakhmonov
Rakhmonov was supposed to be battling champion Belal Muhammad for the UFC welterweight title belt at UFC 310. However, a bone infection in his foot was forcing Muhammad to withdraw.
Instead we are getting a battle of two undefeated fighters in the division. Rakhmonov has yet to go the distance in his career. He’s won eight times by knockout and 10 times via submission. That’s the longest finishing streak of any fighter in UFC welterweight divison history. The Kasazkh fighter, the first from his country to ever join the UFC, is a brilliant grappler, a powerful striker and deadly finisher.
Fighter Spotlight: Ian Machado Garry
Billed by the nickname The Future, the future is suddenly now for the 27-year-old Irishman. Garry arrived to UFC in 2021 as the Cage Warriors Welterweight champion.
He’s a flashy striker, so Garry will always be in with a puncher’s chance in this fight. However, he’ll need to make the utmost out of his takedown defense skills in order to keep Rakhmonov from bringing him down to the mat.
Prediction: This fight is listed at odds of -425 not to go the distance and considering Rakhmonov’s finishing touch, that’s understandable. He simply has more tools in his belt that his Irish opponent. A standup fighter, Garry needs this to be a fight fought on their feet.
Rakhmonov will utilize his outstanding grappling skills to wear down Garry before finishing him off with either a punishing strike, or a deadly submission move.
Once you have settled on the wagers you will be making with each of your UFC 310 bets, you’ll want to be sure to have a look at the massive amounts of data available to you only at SBS. For more insightful analysis into all of the bouts on the card covered here, be certain to have a look at the UFC betting sites guide. These guides are providing the latest assessments for all of the betting lines the oddsmakers are setting on the sport. This information will aid you in assembling some solid UFC 310 picks.
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Theo is our NFL guy. He is the go-to man for all things football and has proven himself to be one of the most expansive writers here, with a broad knowledge of North American sports. He's a veteran journalist based in Ontario, and has covered the gambling and sports betting industry since 2016. He has written more than two dozen books and covered the NFL since the early 1990s.
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