US Elections: Trump is a slight favorite over Harris to win presidency

Updated November 5, 2024
Updated November 5, 2024By Chris Boline
politcs betting us president 2024

Certainly an engaging and dramatic contest, the U.S. Presidential Election race for 2024 will come to a crescendo on November 5th which is Election Day in the U.S. On one side of the race is Donald Trump who served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021 and is an extremely well-known businessman and media personality. Noted in some reports, Trump has continued to dominate the Republican Party and is their nominee again during this election cycle. Opposing him this time around will not be his usual foil, current President Joe Biden, but rather Biden’s current vice president, Kamala Harris who is the 2024 Democratic Party nominee. With her current role as VP, she is recognized as the highest-ranking female official in U.S. history, and from 2017 to 2021, she represented California in the Senate. 

For this report, SBS will be going over what to look for from the latest election news coming out of the United States along with more notes and info at SBS and beyond. 

U.S. Presidential Race 2024BetOnlineBetUSBetNow
Donald Trump-180-180-180
Kamala Harris+155+155+155

What to look for from: Donald Trump

A candidate with an accomplished past, but also a controversial lightning rod in other circles, Trump needs little introduction. After his father made him the president of the family real estate business in 1971, he renamed it the Trump Organization and reoriented the company into various ventures including casinos, golf courses, hotels, and more. That said, as noted in some profiles of the former president, he and his businesses have been plaintiffs or defendants in more than 4,000 legal actions, including six business bankruptcies. Moreover, Trump is the only U.S. president to have been impeached twice and is also the first former U.S. president to be convicted of a crime. Regardless, Trump’s support of his campaign has grown since Harris was selected to run against him. 

Noted on some websites, the former President is currently ahead in polling over Harris. Per the popular statistical analysis website, 538, Trump is predicted to win over Harris 51 times out of 100 in their simulations of the 2024 presidential election. According to an expanded graph on the website out of 1,000 simulations, the former president is victorious 506 times in this scenario

Per the website, the change in the candidate’s fortunes came after a “drip-drip-drip of polls” showed the race tightening across the northern and Sun Belt battleground states. For example, in the 538 forecasts of the popular vote in Pennsylvania, the race has shifted from a 0.6-point lead for Harris on October 1st to a 0.2-point lead for Trump. Meanwhile, in Michigan, Harris’ steady 1.8 lead has dwindled to now just 0.4 points. 

What to look for from: Kamala Harris

In addition to her other roles, her official bio notes, Harris was the attorney general for California prior to serving in the Senate. Per one report, Harris sought the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination in 2019 but withdrew from the race before the primaries. Biden then selected her as his running mate, and their ticket defeated the incumbent ticket of Trump and then-vice president Mike Pence. Presiding over an evenly split Senate upon entering office, Harris played a crucial role as president of the Senate, casting more tie-breaking votes than any other vice president. Additionally, though the public had an unfavorable view of Harris as vice president, setting a record low, her public image has improved after Biden withdrew his candidacy for re-election. Most notably, her approval rating rose 13% among Democrats. 

Current polling metrics have suggested that Harris has fallen behind Trump since an initial surge once she gained the Democratic Party nomination from President Biden. For instance, in states like Nevada, the Republicans have seen a strong surge of early voting support in a state that has turned blue in the last handful of election cycles per local sources in the region. Of course, there is still time for the Democrats to make up this shortfall, but it would appear that some of the initial battleground states are seeing a “red wave” of initial support. 

Presidential Prediction:

In a hard-fought battle, Donald Trump (-180) is the selected pick to take back the presidency in 2024. This election will perhaps be as close as the battle back in 2016 when Trump won the electoral vote while his opponent, Hillary Clinton, won the popular vote. 

Donald TrumpTo win the 2024 US Presidential race
-180
Bet Now

Even more notes and info regarding SBS wagers

Once you are all dialed in regarding the latest news and notes coming from SBS, make sure to check out the awesome array of information coming from around the website. Of course for eligible customers and intrigued parties interested in this topic, the politics betting sites guide is a go-to source for all kinds of political breakdowns and markets. On another note, if you are interested in maximizing your wagers, look no further than the best bonus betting sites breakdown which goes over a ton of great info. This includes information like tips for getting the most out of promotions and a catalog of different bonus offers. On a separate note, for those on the go, the best betting apps rundown is an excellent page to learn more about the nuances of mobile betting sites for eligible players to stay on top of the action. 

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About the Author

Chris Boline
Chris Boline

As a devout aficionado of sports, Chris Boline has carved a career within the athletic realm. A skilled scribe, he boasts a decade-long portfolio that encompasses coverage of the NBA G League, the Los Angeles Chargers, football and basketball across the country. Beyond his professional pursuits, Chris is deeply invested in his community and dedicates his leisure hours to serving on boards, collaborating with community organizations, and cherishing the company of loved ones. CURRENTLY Business Development and freelance sports writing RESIDES IN Reno, NV EDUCATION University of Nevada BS and MBA EXPERTISE -Sports writing proficiency in: NFL, NBA, UFC, boxing, golf, and some motor sports -Topical news -Promotional and marketing ideas/updates -Business development Summary Chris Boline serves in a business development sales capacity as his day job. He has previously held sales/marketing positions with The Applied Companies (TAC), KTVN 2 News and the NBA G League’s Reno Bighorns, affiliate of the Sacramento Kings. He is a Reno native and is a member of various community boards including the Nevada Sagebrush Alumni Chapter, NCET and the College of Business Alumni Association (COBAA). Chris graduated from the University of Nevada in 2015 with a bachelors in management and economics and also earned his MBA from Nevada in 2023. More about Chris: Past president of the College of Business Alumni Association (COBAA) 2022-23 Two-time honoree for University of Nevada Alumni Chapter of the Year (Nevada Sagebrush Alumni Chapter, 2017 & COBAA, 2021) 2021 NCET award for Professional Services Organization of the Year with TAC Northern Nevada Human Resources Association 2020 Best Places to Work-Northern Nevada, Second Place with TAC 2016-17 Reno Bighorns MVP from the Sacramento Kings The Nevada Sagebrush editor-in-chief 2013-15 Associated Collegiate Press 2015 Four-year Non-daily Newspaper Pacemaker honoree University of Nevada, Reno College of Business Dean's List honoree (5x) from 2011-2015 Nevada Press Association award for Best Sports Column – Community in 2015 Education

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